Wednesday, June 15, 2005

Interesting new stat on Hardball Times...

Which compares players OPS with their projected OPS, based on their line drive %, BABIP, etc. The predictive value of this stat is not yet determined, but it may turn out to be a good predictor of future performance. The idea is to discover how much of a players OPS is derived from luck vs. skill.

Anyway, the interesting thing is that while THT projects big declines for Burrell and Lofton (no surprise, I think) and improvement for Rollins, Lieberthal and Thome (also no surprises), Bobby Abreau is performing with little help from lady luck. He's not only in the top of the league in OPS, he's among the best at projected OPS.

Did I mention I think this kid can play a little?

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