Monday, May 15, 2006

Howard starting to heat up

Back in Spring Training, I posted about how important one Ryan Howard could be the the Phillies' 2006 success. Last night, King Kong showed why he may contend for the NL MVP this year.

After a slow start, Howard has pulled his slugging percentage up to .597. In April, his SLG was an anemic .494. So far in May, .795.

To remind you, Howard's 90% BP projection has him going for a season SLG of .750.

Now, the bad news is that Howard isn't walking at all, with only 1 walk so far in May, and that was intentional. You cannot continue that kind of thing all year. However, I feel certain that Howard will bring his walks total up again as the year progresses, and currently his power is so great he can get away with it for now.

Questions to consider:

1) Will the fact that the Phillies' have a great linup prevent Howard from being pitched around too much?

2) Given that, after a slow start, the Phillies have been getting on base at a fantastic pace, and lead the league in OBP last year, how many RBI should Howard end up with in '06? Is 150 out of reach?


At 10:31 AM, Blogger gr said...

i think howard won't be a super-high rbi guy by year's end. all his other numbers look good, but he's got, what, 27 rbis on 12 HRs? i think we're looking at a 40-110 kind of year, not a second coming of Hack Wilson. which is cool. in part, it means the rbis are being spread around.

At 2:13 PM, Anonymous Alex said...

Here's what I said back in February. I don't think we have anything to worry about, other than Manuel not playing him against lefties.

At 4:30 AM, Blogger GM-Carson said...

Love your blog. I was hoping to get my blog linked to your's than vise-versa.

Let me know if you link us, so we can do the same for you.

Carson Book


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